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Tomorrow in Melbourne: Mild, with rain likely, high of 19°

Monday 2 November at Melbourne Airport (MEL), Australia

Tomorrow at MEL

High19°

Likely 15°–24°

Rain likely

Low 11°, likely 8°–13°

  • 91% chance of rain
  • Wind up to 25 km/h
  • Humidity 88%

Through the day

000306091215182119°11°

Times are local; night hours are shaded. The line is a sketch, not an hour-by-hour forecast: this airport's typical daily temperature cycle, scaled to tomorrow's high and low.

Tomorrow's high should be 2° cooler than the normal high for 2 November. Expect rain at some point in the day (91% chance).

How sure we are

5°10°15°20°25°Low: likely 8° to 13°, forecast 11°Low 11°High: likely 15° to 24°, forecast 19°High 19°

Shaded: the likely range (an 80% range). In our tests, eight days in ten ended inside it.

Right now at MEL

11°, clear, wind from the northwest at 4 km/h.

Latest airport report, 03:00 local time.

The details

Chance of rain
91% normal 53%
Chance of thunder
18%
Chance of fog
1% or less
Strongest wind
25 km/h
Strongest gust
26 km/h
Average humidity
88%
Daytime sky
Rain likely

Chances are for the local day. Rain means rain, drizzle or snow in at least one hourly airport report; fog means fog or visibility under 1 km in at least one. "Normal" is this airport's usual chance for the date. Wind and gust are the strongest of the day.

How our forecasts did here

Each band is the forecast high ±2°, each dot what the airport measured. Highs more than 2° off are in bold. Rained means rain or snow was reported that day.
DayHigh forecastHigh measuredWhere it landedLow forecastLow measuredRain chanceRained
Sat 31 Oct22°21°14°15°93%Yes
Fri 30 Oct26°27°9°10°5%No
Thu 29 Oct20°20°11°11°16%No
Wed 28 Oct17°17°8°7°59%No
Mon 26 Oct15°16°8°7°72%No
Sat 24 Oct21°21°13°16°78%Yes
Fri 23 Oct29°30°16°17°64%No
Thu 22 Oct25°30°13°14°47%Yes
Wed 21 Oct24°26°14°14°55%No
Sat 3 Oct16°16°10°12°65%Yes
Fri 2 Oct18°14°11°11°69%Yes

The forecast high was within 2° on 8 of the last 11 scored days. Days that could not be scored are left out. Forecasts before 27 October did not yet use ECMWF and were less accurate on average.

"Measured" is the highest and lowest hourly airport report of the local day. Official daily highs and lows can differ a little: at US airports the official high averages about 0.4° higher and the official low about 0.5° lower. More

Not for aviation or safety decisions. Disclaimer

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